Preview

Concept: philosophy, religion, culture

Advanced search

INFORMATION AND COGNITIVE FORCE «FORMATTING» OF THE RULING ELITE SUBJECTS OF THE MILITARY - POLITICAL SITUATION IN THE «TRANSITION PERIOD»

https://doi.org/10.24833/2541-8831-2019-2-10-113-134

Abstract

Analysis and forecast for development of possible means of power politics in the transition period until 2024 is of immense importance not only for the military development plans and the future of defense procurement (and therefore the country's military expenditures), but to any conscious changes in the military art. First of all we are talking about the strategy of the states that directly depend on the means of reference as armed and unarmed political power struggle. This is a fundamental position of political and military science well-known for a long time [Shaposhnikov, 2016].

It is also clear that not only currently there are radical changes in the priorities of the use of certain power tools, you have to select the most preferable (least risky, more effective and less costly) force politicians from all existing and constantly updated huge set of tools. But this specificity has been observed before, for example, with the advent of nuclear weapons and their means of delivery, when it became possible to achieve strategic objectives directly without the consistent achievement of tactical results.

Moreover, the choice of the most effective military tools in the era of nuclear weapons was raised repeatedly and it was natural in the USSR and in the West during the last century. And, I would emphasize, not only - and maybe not so much - of the means of armed struggle (AMSE), as of force political leverage in general - economic, informational, political, diplomatic, etc.

But in the modern transition period (2014-2025), these processes have become not only very dynamic, but frankly destabilizing, ignoring previous agreements on compliance with international security and strategic stability, and simple traditional international law and political communication.

About the Author

A. I. Podberezkin
MGIMO (U), Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia
Russian Federation

Podberezkin Alexey I - Doctor of Historical Sciences, Professor, Director of the Center for Military-Political Studies



References

1. Dolgosrochnoe prognozirovanie razvitiia otnoshenii mezhdu lokal'nymi tsivilizatsiiami v Evrazii: monografiia [Long-term forecasting of the development of relations between local civilizations in Eurasia: monograph] / A.I. Podberezkin et al. Moscow, Publishing house «International relations», 2017. pp. 34-44 (In Russian).

2. Zinov'eva E.S. Tsifrovaia publichnaia diplomatiia kak instrument uregulirovaniia konfliktov [Digital public diplomacy as a tool for conflict resolution]. Publichnaia diplomatiia: Teoriia i praktika: Nauchnoe izdanie [Public diplomacy: Theory and practice: Scientific publication] / ed. M. M. Lebedeva. Moscow, Publishing House «Aspect Press», 2017. pp. 54-69 (In Russian).

3. Mal'chikova V. Interaktivnoe veshchanie SShA, kak sredstvo vedeniia «gibridnoi voiny» [Interactive broadcasting of the USA as a means of conducting «hybrid war»]. Voenno-politicheskaia analitika -Military-political Analytics. Available at: https://vpoanalitics.com/ 2018/01/16 (accessed 10 June 2019) (In Russian).

4. Mir v KhKhI veke: prognoz razvitiia mezhdunarodnoi obstanovki po stranam i regionam: monografiia [World in the XXI century: forecast of the international situation in countries and regions: monograph] / A.I. Podberezkin, M.I. Alexandrov, O.E. Rodionov, etc., ed. M.V. Alexandrov, O.E. Rodionov. Moscow, MGIMO University, 2018. pp. 30-31 (In Russian).

5. Podberezkin A.I. Natsional'nyi chelovecheskii kapital: v 5 tt. T. 3 [National human capital: in 5 vols. vol.3]. Moscow, MGIMO University, 2011. 848 p. (In Russian).

6. Podberezkin A.I. Sovremennaia voennaiapolitika Rossii: uchebno-metodicheskiikompleks: v2 tt. Tom 21 [Modern military policy of Russia: educational-methodical complex: in 2 vols. Volume 21]. Moscow, MGIMO University, 2017. pp. 64-83 (In Russian).

7. Podberezkin A.I., Muntian M.A., Kharkevich M.V. Dolgosrochnoe prognozirovanie stsenariev razvitiia voenno-politicheskoi obstanovki: analitich. doklad [Long-Term forecasting of scenarios of development of military-political situation: analitic. report]. Moscow, MGIMO University, 2014. pp. 17-44 (In Russian).

8. Proekt dolgosrochnoi strategii natsional'noi bezopasnosti Rossii s metodologicheskimi i metodicheski-mi kommentariiami: analit. Doklad [Draft long-term national security strategy of Russia with methodological and methodical comments: analit. report] / A.I. Podberezkin (hands. auth. count), etc. Moscow, MGIMO University, 2016. 86 p. (In Russian).

9. Publichnaia diplomatiia: Teoriia i praktika: nauchnoe izdanie [Public diplomacy: Theory and practice: scientific publication] / ed. M.M. Lebedeva. Moscow, Publishing House «Aspect Press», 2017. pp. 42-46 (In Russian).

10. Putin V.V. Ukaz № 762 ot 31 dekabria 2015 g. «O Strategii natsional'noi bezopasnosti Rossiiskoi Fed-eratsii» [Decree No. 762 of December 31, 2015 «On the national security Strategy of the Russian Federa-tion»] (In Russian).

11. Putin V.V. Ukaz № 646 ot 5 dekabria 2016 g. «Ob utverzhdenii doktriny informatsionnoi bezopasnosti Rossiiskoi Federatsii» [Decree No. 646 of December 5, 2016 «On approval of the doctrine of information security of the Russian Federation»] (In Russian).

12. Strategicheskoe prognozirovanie i planirovanie vneshnei i oboronnoi politiki: monografiia: v 2 tt. T. 1. Teoreticheskie osnovy sistemy analiza, prognoza i planirovaniia vneshnei i oboronnoi politiki [Strategic forecasting and planning of foreign and defense policy: monograph: 2 t. T. 1. Theoretical foundations of the system of analysis, forecast and planning of foreign and defense policy] / ed. A.I. Podberezkin. Moscow, MGIMO University, 2015. pp. 112-123 (In Russian).

13. Trenin D. Strategicheskaia stabil'nost' v usloviiakh smeny miroporiadka [Strategic stability in the conditions of world order change]. Tsentr Karnegi - Carnegie Center. Moscow, March 13, 2019. Available at: https://www.carnegy.ru/2019/03/13 (accessed 10 June 2019) (In Russian).

14. Shaposhnikov B.M. Mozg armii [The Brain of the army]. Moscow, Society for The preservation of literary heritage, 2015. 824 p. (In Russian).

15. Gompert D., Binnendijk H. The Power to Coerce. Santa Monica, Calif., RAND, 2016. pp. 3-41.

16. Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy of The United States of America. Wash., Jan. 2018. pp. 3-11.

17. Missile Defense Review. Office of the Secretary of Defense. Wash., Jan. 2019. pp. 8-14.


Review

For citations:


Podberezkin A.I. INFORMATION AND COGNITIVE FORCE «FORMATTING» OF THE RULING ELITE SUBJECTS OF THE MILITARY - POLITICAL SITUATION IN THE «TRANSITION PERIOD». Concept: philosophy, religion, culture. 2019;(2):113-134. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.24833/2541-8831-2019-2-10-113-134

Views: 454


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2541-8831 (Print)
ISSN 2619-0540 (Online)