Preview

Concept: philosophy, religion, culture

Advanced search

THE HYPOTHESIS OF “THE ESCAPE FROM THE MALTHUSIAN TRAP” THROUGH THE “FASTER TECHNOLOGICAL GROWTH”: THE CRITICAL ANALYSIS

https://doi.org/10.24833/2541-8831-2019-4-12-129-140

Abstract

The key thesis of cliodynamics is a conclusion that starting from the certain moment of human history the technologies began to grow faster than the growth of population of the planet. The followers of the hypothesis suppose that this allowed the humans “to escape” from “the Malthusian trap”, i.e. the regularly overpopulation crises that led traditional societies to collapses. However, the critical analysis draws a more complicated picture. First, we can suppose that many (at least, many) of traditional societies achieved the limits of their social and political durability earlier than the resource limits. Secondly, from the very beginning of human history there were known some deliberate mechanisms of lowering of population growth, such as infanticide and regulated cannibalism. Thirdly, by no means denying that the technological growth increases the medium bearing capacity, we can suppose that the free space reserves was a very important factor of the Earth population achieved at the mid of XX century. That is why the thesis of “the technological growth faster than the population growth” looks controversially. Finally, even the modern societies “escaped” from the “Malthusian trap” through the decreasing of population growth, using the mechanism of fertility decline.

About the Author

A. A. Romanchuk
Institute of Cultural Heritage
Moldova, Republic of

MA in anthropology, researcher

Bd. Stefan cel mare si Sfint, 1, Md-2001, Chisinau, Republic of Moldova.

Email: dierevo@mail.ru



References

1. Abyzov M.A., Korotaev A.V. O roste rozhdaemosti kak faktore podtalkivaniia ekonomicheskogo rosta v naibolee ekonomicheski razvitykh stranakh [About the fertility growth as a factor of economic growth in the most economically developed countries]. Mirovaia dinamika: zakonomernosti, tendentsii, perspektivy [World dynamics: patterns, trends, perspectives] / Ed. A.V. Akayev, A.V. Korotaev, S.Yu. Malkov. Moscow, Krasand, 2014. pp. 274-290 (In Russian).

2. Belavin V.A., Kniazeva E.N., Kurkina E.S. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie global’noi dinamiki mirovogo soobshchestva [Mathematical modelling of global dynamics]. 2008. [manuscript] (In Russian).

3. Bogdankevich O.V. Lektsii po ekologii [Lectures in ecology]. Moscow, Fizmatlit, 2002. 208 p. (In Russian).

4. Brodel’ F. Material’naia tsivilizatsiia, ekonomika i kapitalizm, XV-XVIII vv. T.1 [Material civilization, economics and capitalism, XV-XVIII centuries. T.1]. Moscow, All World, 2007. 623 p. (In Russian).

5. Veber M. Protestantskaia etika i dukh kapitalizma. Izbrannye proizvedeniia: Per. s nem. [Protestant Ethics and the Spirit of Capitalism. Selected Works: Per. with Germ.] / Comp., Total. ed. and after Yu.N. Davydova; Foreword P.P. Gaidenko. Moscow, Progress, 1990. 808 p. (In Russian).

6. Zin’kina Iu.V., Shul’gin S. G., Korotaev A. V. Evoliutsiia global’nykh setei. Zakonomernosti, tendentsii, modeli [The evolution of global networks: patterns, trends, models]. Moscow, Lenand, 2016. 280 p. (In Russian).

7. Korotaev A.V. Dolgosrochnaia politiko-demograficheskaia dinamika Egipta: tsikly i tendentsii [The long-term political and demograthical dynamics of Egypt: cycles and trends]. Moscow, Oriental literature, 2006. 111 p. (In Russian).

8. Korotaev A.V., Komarova N.L., Khalturina D.A. Zakony istorii. Vekovye tsikly i tysiacheletnie trendy. Demografiia, ekonomika, voiny [The rules of history. Cecular cycles and millennia trends, Demography, economy, wars]. Moscow, KomKniga / URSS, 2007. 256 p. (In Russian).

9. Korotaev A.V., Malkov A.S., Khalturina D.A. Zakony istorii. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie razvitiia Mir-Sistemy. Demografiia, ekonomika, kul’tura [The rules of history. Mathimatical modelling of World System development.Demography, economy, culture]. Moscow, KomKniga / URSS, 2007. 222 p. (In Russian).

10. Kriukov M.V., Maliavin V.A., Sofronov M.V. Kitaiskii etnos v srednie veka (VII-XIII vv.). [Chineze ethnia during the Middle Ages]. Moscow, Science, 1984. 336 p. (In Russian).

11. Kul’pin E. S. Evraziia: puskovoi mekhanizm evoliutsii [Eurasia: the evolution trigger]. Chelovek i priroda: iz proshlogo v budushchee [Man and nature: from the past to the future] / Ed. E.S. Culpin. Moscow, Energy, 2006. pp. 7-74 (In Russian).

12. Lapina Z. G. Uchenie ob upravlenii gosudarstvom v srednevekovom Kitae [The theory of state governing in medieval China]. Moscow, Science, 1985. 388 p. (In Russian).

13. Nefedov S.A., Turchin P.V. Opyt modelirovaniia demograficheski-strukturnykh tsiklov [An attempt of demographical cycles modelling]. Istoriia i Matematika: Makroistoricheskaia dinamika obshchestva i gosudarstva [History and Mathematics: Macrohistorical Dynamics of Society and State] / Ed. S.Yu. Malkov, L.E. Grinin, A.V. Korotaev. Moscow, KomKniga / URSS, 2007. pp. 153-167 (In Russian).

14. Reiting stran po kolichestvu patentov [Rating of countries by the number of patents]. Available at: https://nonews.co/directory/lists/countries/number-patents (accessed 10 September 2019) (In Russian).

15. Romanchuk A.A. Vremia cheloveka: zametki k demograficheskoi teorii istorii [The time of Man: some sketches to the demographical theory of history]. Stratumplus, 2006, no. 2, pp. 407-438 (In Russian).

16. Romanchuk A.A. Model’ Goldstouna-Nefedova-Turchina i ee ob”iasnitel’nye vozmozhnosti [Goldstone-Nefedov-Turchin’s model and its explanatory possibilities]. Problemy matematicheskoi istorii. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie istoricheskikh protsessov [Problems of mathematical history. Mathematical modeling of historical processes]. Moscow, LIBROCOM / URSS, 2008. pp. 144-149 (In Russian).

17. Romanchuk A.A. Krivye zerkala «mal’tuzianskikh lovushek»: proiskhozhdenie, periodizatsiia i demograficheskaia dinamika Kul’tur Reznoi i Shtampovannoi Keramiki Karpato-Podnestrov’ia (12 – seredina 8 vv. do R. Kh.) [Wrong mirrors of «Malthusian traps»: the origin, periodization, and demographical dynamics of Incised and Stamped Pottery Ceramic Cultures of Carpathian-Dniester region]. Saarbrücken, LAMBERT Academic Publishing. 2011. 137 p. (In Russian).

18. Romanchuk A.A., Medvedeva O.V. Global’nyi demograficheskii perekhod i ego biologicheskie paralleli [Global demographic transition and its biological analogies]. Evoliutsiia: mezhdistsiplinarnyi al’manakh. Vyp. 1. [Evolution: an interdisciplinary almanac. Vol. 1]. Moscow, URSS, 2009. pp. 244-269 (In Russian).

19. Sovetov P.V. Rezervy rosta votchinoi ekspluatatsii i feodal’nyi immunitet v Moldavii [The reserves of votchina exploitation growth and feudal immunity in Moldavia]. Stratum plus, 2006, no. 6, pp.196-226 (In Russian).

20. Turou L. Budushchee kapitalizma. Kak ekonomika segodniashnego dnia formiruet mir zavtrashnii [The Future of Capitalism: How Today’s Economic Forces Shape Tomorrow’s World]. Novaia postindustrial’naia volna na Zapade. Antologiia [New post-industrial wave in the West. Anthology]. Moscow, Academia, 1999. pp. 185-222 (In Russian).

21. Thurow L. Head to head; the coming economic battle among Japan, Europe, and America. New-York, Warner Books, 1993. 336 p.


Review

For citations:


Romanchuk A.A. THE HYPOTHESIS OF “THE ESCAPE FROM THE MALTHUSIAN TRAP” THROUGH THE “FASTER TECHNOLOGICAL GROWTH”: THE CRITICAL ANALYSIS. Concept: philosophy, religion, culture. 2019;(4):129-140. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.24833/2541-8831-2019-4-12-129-140

Views: 1048


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2541-8831 (Print)
ISSN 2619-0540 (Online)